Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.0% vs Johnson 48.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 75.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 71.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 76.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Monahan
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Monahan
Johnson
Last 10: Monahan 7-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
0
Monahan
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Monahan
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
1
Monahan
Johnson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (1,301)
48.5% (776)
+3.6%
Power Play
50.3% (342)
56.7% (157)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (96)
26.4% (53)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Monahan is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (629).
Monahan shoots left. Johnson is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Monahan
Johnson
Home
52.7% (875)
48.8% (482)
Away
49.3% (864)
48.4% (504)
By Period
Monahan
Johnson
P1
51.0%
50.3%
P2
51.8%
48.5%
P3
50.9%
47.0%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |