Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 47.5% vs Seguin 50.9% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 54.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 80.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 72.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Schenn
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Schenn
Seguin
Last 6: Schenn 5-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
0
Schenn
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Schenn
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (469)
51.1% (720)
-4.6%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
54.2% (59)
+1.8%
On even strength, Seguin has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Schenn is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Schenn shoots left. Seguin is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Schenn
Seguin
Home
49.6% (236)
52.0% (421)
Away
44.6% (258)
49.9% (365)
By Period
Schenn
Seguin
P1
48.0%
50.8%
P2
48.1%
51.3%
P3
42.2%
51.0%
OT
81.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |