Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.1% vs Seguin 57.4% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 63.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 91.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 85.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Schenn
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Schenn
Seguin
Last 7: Schenn 6-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
1
Schenn
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (649)
59.6% (736)
-10.0%
Power Play
47.7% (44)
61.5% (65)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
47.6% (124)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Schenn is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Schenn shoots left. Seguin is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Schenn
Seguin
Home
50.5% (333)
60.1% (461)
Away
47.8% (381)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Schenn
Seguin
P1
48.3%
59.1%
P2
52.2%
58.9%
P3
46.5%
57.3%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |