Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.7% vs Seguin 53.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 64.1%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 68.3%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 67.0%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Jarnkrok
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Jarnkrok
Seguin
Last 7: Jarnkrok 1-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Jarnkrok
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Jarnkrok
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (601)
53.9% (482)
-6.8%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
35.3% (17)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
75.0% (12)
-56.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +56.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jarnkrok is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Seguin is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Seguin
Home
44.5% (362)
58.9% (231)
Away
48.4% (279)
49.6% (280)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Seguin
P1
48.5%
51.5%
P2
45.9%
48.5%
P3
44.7%
61.7%
OT
16.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |