Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Seguin 55.4% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 82.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 80.6%
Neutral zone
Dewar 79.3%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Dewar
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Dewar
Seguin
Last 5: Dewar 0-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Dewar
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Dewar
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Dewar
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
56.9% (478)
-10.7%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
57.4% (54)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
51.3% (76)
-1.3%
On power play, Seguin has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Dewar is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Dewar shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Dewar
Seguin
Home
43.9% (189)
57.4% (317)
Away
49.3% (221)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Dewar
Seguin
P1
50.4%
50.3%
P2
50.0%
60.4%
P3
40.8%
58.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:00 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |