Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Haula wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.6% vs Seguin 57.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 68.5%
Defensive zone
Haula 51.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 59.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Haula
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Haula
Seguin
Last 8: Haula 2-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Haula
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Haula
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (516)
59.6% (736)
-4.9%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
61.5% (65)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
47.6% (124)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Haula is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Haula shoots left. Seguin is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Haula
Seguin
Home
58.8% (386)
60.1% (461)
Away
48.4% (318)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Haula
Seguin
P1
53.8%
59.1%
P2
55.2%
58.9%
P3
53.2%
57.3%
OT
60.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 12:36 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 15:33 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 06:59 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |