Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Seguin 54.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 88.4%
Defensive zone
Malkin 69.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 76.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Malkin
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Malkin
Seguin
Last 10: Malkin 2-8 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
4
Malkin
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Malkin
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
55.0% (713)
-6.0%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
56.7% (104)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.2% (53)
+2.8%
On even strength, Seguin has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Malkin
Seguin
Home
52.3% (438)
56.2% (443)
Away
46.2% (418)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Malkin
Seguin
P1
51.3%
54.2%
P2
50.8%
52.9%
P3
45.0%
57.1%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |