Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.9% vs Seguin 55.0% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 70.6%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 70.4%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 70.6%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Kuznetsov
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kuznetsov
Seguin
Last 5: Kuznetsov 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Kuznetsov
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Kuznetsov
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,028)
55.9% (789)
-8.2%
Power Play
50.0% (94)
52.1% (48)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
44.4% (9)
-4.4%
On even strength, Seguin has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Seguin is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Seguin
Home
49.8% (592)
57.3% (382)
Away
45.5% (545)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Seguin
P1
49.0%
55.1%
P2
49.3%
57.5%
P3
45.3%
53.7%
OT
40.7%
61.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |