Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Barbashev wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Seguin 57.4% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Barbashev 75.0%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 78.0%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 70.8%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Barbashev
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Barbashev
Seguin
Last 10: Barbashev 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
5
Barbashev
Seguin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Barbashev
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barbashev
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (300)
59.6% (736)
-14.9%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
61.5% (65)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
47.6% (124)
+0.0%
On even strength, Seguin has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Barbashev is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Barbashev shoots left. Seguin is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Seguin
Home
39.6% (134)
60.1% (461)
Away
49.5% (194)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Barbashev
Seguin
P1
38.3%
59.1%
P2
50.0%
58.9%
P3
49.1%
57.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |