Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 49.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 62.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 56.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 59.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Compher
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Compher
Seguin
Last 5: Compher 3-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Compher
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (362)
53.9% (996)
-5.0%
Power Play
54.4% (103)
56.4% (94)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
52.1% (165)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Compher is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Compher shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Home / Away
Compher
Seguin
Home
50.9% (316)
55.9% (633)
Away
47.3% (296)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Compher
Seguin
P1
49.7%
55.8%
P2
50.9%
51.7%
P3
47.1%
54.5%
OT
40.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
43.7%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
49.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 05:19 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |