Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Danault wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.2% vs Seguin 57.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 58.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 58.5%
Neutral zone
Danault 57.8%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Danault
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Danault
Seguin
Last 7: Danault 2-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
4
Danault
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Danault
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,008)
59.6% (736)
-4.6%
Power Play
65.7% (99)
61.5% (65)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (229)
47.6% (124)
+0.0%
On even strength, Seguin has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Danault is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Danault shoots left. Seguin is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Danault
Seguin
Home
53.0% (677)
60.1% (461)
Away
56.0% (659)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Danault
Seguin
P1
50.6%
59.1%
P2
55.8%
58.9%
P3
57.0%
57.3%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |