Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.7% vs Seguin 55.4% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 54.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 73.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 78.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
McLeod
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McLeod
Seguin
Last 6: McLeod 4-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
1
McLeod
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
McLeod
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
56.5% (712)
-8.7%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
59.7% (67)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
44.9% (49)
-8.9%
On power play, Seguin has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. McLeod is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (205).
McLeod shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
McLeod
Seguin
Home
46.6% (253)
58.5% (402)
Away
47.8% (272)
53.8% (426)
By Period
McLeod
Seguin
P1
43.9%
58.4%
P2
45.9%
54.7%
P3
52.1%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |