Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tyler Seguin
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 45.4% vs Seguin 55.0% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 74.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 81.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 69.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Last 7: Nugent-Hopkins 5-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (695)
55.9% (789)
-12.7%
Power Play
53.8% (104)
52.1% (48)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (24)
44.4% (9)
+9.8%
On even strength, Seguin has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Seguin is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Home
48.2% (465)
57.3% (382)
Away
40.5% (358)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
P1
40.8%
55.1%
P2
41.3%
57.5%
P3
52.1%
53.7%
OT
56.3%
61.1%
Final 5 min
43.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |