Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nosek wins 64.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 56.9% vs Seguin 53.6% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 54.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 65.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 56.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Nosek
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nosek
Seguin
Last 6: Nosek 3-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Nosek
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
1
Nosek
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
0
Nosek
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
63.4% (112)
53.9% (996)
+9.5%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
56.4% (94)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (14)
52.1% (165)
+5.0%
On even strength, Nosek has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Nosek is 64.5% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Nosek shoots left. Seguin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Nosek
Seguin
Home
56.7% (67)
55.9% (633)
Away
67.7% (65)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Nosek
Seguin
P1
57.5%
55.8%
P2
65.5%
51.7%
P3
61.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
71.4%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
62.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2019 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |