Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +21.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Frederic wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frederic 43.0% vs Seguin 54.2% (-21.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 75.7%
Defensive zone
Frederic 66.3%
Neutral zone
Frederic 73.1%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Frederic
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Frederic
Seguin
Last 6: Frederic 0-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Frederic
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
5
Frederic
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frederic
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (69)
55.0% (713)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
47.2% (53)
+19.5%
On even strength, Seguin has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Frederic is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Frederic shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Frederic
Seguin
Home
42.1% (19)
56.2% (443)
Away
30.2% (53)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Frederic
Seguin
P1
32.1%
54.2%
P2
35.0%
52.9%
P3
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
31.3%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
33.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |