Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Seguin wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 52.5% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 71.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 65.8%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 70.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Seguin
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Seguin
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
0
Seguin
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (201)
57.8% (626)
-4.6%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
63.6% (151)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
44.0% (141)
+0.4%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Seguin shoots right. Trocheck is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Seguin
Trocheck
Home
56.3% (126)
54.4% (390)
Away
50.5% (109)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Seguin
Trocheck
P1
44.3%
56.4%
P2
52.1%
58.7%
P3
62.5%
54.8%
OT
80.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |