Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Seguin wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 55.4% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 87.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 66.6%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 69.4%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Seguin
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Seguin
Trocheck
Last 5: Seguin 4-1 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Seguin
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
0
Seguin
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
0
Seguin
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (478)
57.6% (1,061)
-0.7%
Power Play
57.4% (54)
65.1% (338)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
49.5% (101)
+1.8%
On power play, Trocheck has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Seguin shoots right. Trocheck is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Home / Away
Seguin
Trocheck
Home
57.4% (317)
61.8% (735)
Away
55.0% (291)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Seguin
Trocheck
P1
50.3%
57.7%
P2
60.4%
57.9%
P3
58.0%
60.4%
OT
57.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 16:59 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |