Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Seguin wins 63.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 55.4% vs Trocheck 54.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 50.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 51.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 53.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Seguin
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Seguin
Trocheck
Last 6: Seguin 2-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Seguin
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Seguin
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Seguin
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (712)
54.3% (955)
+2.2%
Power Play
59.7% (67)
64.6% (96)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (49)
51.0% (194)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Seguin shoots right. Trocheck is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Seguin
Trocheck
Home
58.5% (402)
58.3% (604)
Away
53.8% (426)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Seguin
Trocheck
P1
58.4%
53.9%
P2
54.7%
55.7%
P3
54.1%
54.3%
OT
72.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
57.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |