Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 54.2% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 64.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 50.7%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 58.5%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Seguin
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Seguin
Trocheck
Last 7: Seguin 4-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
Seguin
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
0
Seguin
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
0
Seguin
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (713)
55.0% (956)
+0.0%
Power Play
56.7% (104)
59.8% (266)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (53)
56.3% (64)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Seguin shoots right. Trocheck is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Seguin
Trocheck
Home
56.2% (443)
57.7% (673)
Away
53.2% (427)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Seguin
Trocheck
P1
54.2%
55.4%
P2
52.9%
55.6%
P3
57.1%
56.4%
OT
60.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
57.9%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |