Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Seguin wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 54.2% vs Gourde 49.7% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 56.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 53.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Seguin
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (713)
49.1% (847)
+5.9%
Power Play
56.7% (104)
79.5% (44)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (53)
39.5% (81)
+7.7%
On power play, Gourde has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Seguin shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Seguin
Gourde
Home
56.2% (443)
50.1% (491)
Away
53.2% (427)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Seguin
Gourde
P1
54.2%
54.7%
P2
52.9%
45.0%
P3
57.1%
49.4%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.7%