Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 51.8% vs Gourde 49.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 58.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 63.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Seguin
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Seguin
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Seguin
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Seguin
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (135)
51.2% (469)
+3.6%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
42.9% (21)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
37.5% (48)
-10.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Seguin shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Seguin
Gourde
Home
47.4% (95)
47.8% (301)
Away
59.5% (79)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Seguin
Gourde
P1
50.8%
47.3%
P2
57.1%
53.4%
P3
51.6%
48.6%
Final 5 min
51.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |