Scouting Report
Timo Meier holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Meier wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Meier 43.7% vs Toffoli 43.0% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 53.9%
Defensive zone
Meier 50.9%
Neutral zone
Meier 50.2%
Result
Tyler Toffoli favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Meier
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Meier
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (468)
41.2% (274)
+0.0%
Power Play
50.0% (100)
45.0% (40)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
26.3% (19)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Meier has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Meier is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Meier shoots left. Toffoli is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Meier
Toffoli
Home
43.2% (280)
44.5% (155)
Away
42.1% (302)
37.6% (178)
By Period
Meier
Toffoli
P1
43.0%
47.4%
P2
44.4%
39.8%
P3
40.0%
32.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
33.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
42.6%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.8%