Scouting Report
Timo Meier holds a +22.9% FO% edge overall. Meier wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Meier 47.5% vs Toffoli 45.8% (+22.9%)
Offensive zone
Meier 50.6%
Defensive zone
Meier 59.6%
Neutral zone
Meier 52.0%
Result
Timo Meier favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Meier
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Meier
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (84)
23.5% (17)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Meier has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Meier is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Meier shoots left. Toffoli is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Meier
Toffoli
Home
40.9% (44)
25.0% (8)
Away
48.3% (58)
20.0% (10)
By Period
Meier
Toffoli
P1
33.3%
75.0%
P2
46.7%
16.7%
P3
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Meier
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
43.0%
22.2%