Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Jost 47.5% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 92.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 74.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 87.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Henrique
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Henrique
Jost
Last 9: Henrique 7-2 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
Jost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Jost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (445)
47.7% (287)
+6.9%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
62.5% (8)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
39.2% (51)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Henrique is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Henrique shoots left. Jost is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Henrique
Jost
Home
58.1% (310)
49.5% (190)
Away
51.9% (237)
43.6% (156)
By Period
Henrique
Jost
P1
56.1%
43.2%
P2
53.6%
52.5%
P3
55.7%
44.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.4%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |