Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Jost 40.8% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 96.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 79.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 92.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Nelson
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Nelson
Jost
Last 10: Nelson 8-2 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
7
0
Nelson
Jost
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
2
3
Nelson
Jost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
41.8% (388)
+5.1%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
0.0% (3)
+57.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
21.7% (60)
+3.3%
On power play, Nelson has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Jost is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Nelson
Jost
Home
48.9% (521)
42.6% (230)
Away
45.5% (516)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Nelson
Jost
P1
45.9%
43.2%
P2
48.0%
38.2%
P3
48.0%
34.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |