Connor McDavid vs Vincent Trocheck
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 85.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 58.5%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 75.6%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
McDavid
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McDavid
Trocheck
Last 5: McDavid 4-1 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
55.0% (956)
-3.5%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
59.8% (266)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
56.3% (64)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McDavid is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (357).
McDavid shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
McDavid
Trocheck
Home
50.7% (513)
57.7% (673)
Away
53.2% (498)
54.3% (613)
By Period
McDavid
Trocheck
P1
52.3%
55.4%
P2
51.6%
55.6%
P3
51.7%
56.4%
OT
100.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |