Connor McDavid vs Vincent Trocheck
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Trocheck 54.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 22-14 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 83.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 94.1%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 87.7%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 88.7%
11.3%
88.7%
McDavid
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
14
(36 meetings)
22
14
McDavid
Trocheck
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
8
1
McDavid
Trocheck
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
7
5
McDavid
Trocheck
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
7
8
McDavid
Trocheck
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
53.7% (10,904)
-6.0%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
60.8% (1,856)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
49.6% (1,461)
-6.2%
On power play, Trocheck has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
McDavid shoots left. Trocheck is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,884).
Home / Away
McDavid
Trocheck
Home
49.3% (4,570)
56.3% (7,114)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
52.2% (7,107)
By Period
McDavid
Trocheck
P1
46.5%
54.1%
P2
48.7%
54.7%
P3
48.3%
54.0%
OT
40.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 12, 2018 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 12, 2018 | 3 | 01:14 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 12, 2018 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |