Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.8% vs Trocheck 50.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 59.5%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 65.0%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 62.7%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Carter
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Carter
Trocheck
Last 8: Carter 1-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Carter
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
Carter
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Carter
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,137)
50.3% (1,280)
+3.1%
Power Play
48.7% (154)
52.7% (201)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
46.4% (183)
-3.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Carter is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Carter shoots right. Trocheck is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
Carter
Trocheck
Home
54.8% (753)
52.4% (828)
Away
48.6% (662)
48.0% (836)
By Period
Carter
Trocheck
P1
52.8%
52.6%
P2
53.0%
50.9%
P3
49.9%
48.1%
OT
53.3%
34.4%
Final 5 min
49.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |