Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Seguin wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 57.4% vs Trocheck 51.9% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 75.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 51.5%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 59.2%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Seguin
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Seguin
Trocheck
Last 6: Seguin 2-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Seguin
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Seguin
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (736)
51.6% (697)
+8.0%
Power Play
61.5% (65)
55.1% (98)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (124)
54.1% (37)
-6.5%
On even strength, Seguin has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Seguin is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Seguin shoots right. Trocheck is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Seguin
Trocheck
Home
60.1% (461)
56.8% (400)
Away
56.3% (464)
47.9% (432)
By Period
Seguin
Trocheck
P1
59.1%
49.1%
P2
58.9%
53.5%
P3
57.3%
54.5%
OT
46.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |