Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 45.3% vs Karlsson 45.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 77.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 72.6%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 58.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Miller
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Miller
Karlsson
Last 9: Miller 3-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Miller
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Miller
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (284)
47.2% (786)
-2.5%
Power Play
46.0% (50)
54.5% (11)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
35.6% (163)
-5.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Miller is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Miller shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Miller
Karlsson
Home
44.2% (206)
46.4% (478)
Away
43.7% (151)
44.2% (482)
By Period
Miller
Karlsson
P1
44.1%
44.8%
P2
40.2%
45.6%
P3
46.2%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
44.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2017 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 06:21 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | William Karlsson |