Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.3% vs 56.2%). Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Karlsson 55.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 57.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 51.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 57.1%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Miller
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Miller
Karlsson
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Miller
Karlsson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
Miller
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
4
Miller
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
56.3% (739)
+0.0%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
58.6% (181)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
47.2% (53)
+0.2%
On power play, Miller has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Miller
Karlsson
Home
58.6% (734)
56.5% (462)
Away
54.1% (727)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Miller
Karlsson
P1
57.1%
57.1%
P2
57.0%
55.2%
P3
54.7%
56.7%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | William Karlsson |