Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.5% vs 57.6%). Drury wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.6% vs Karlsson 54.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 69.6%
Defensive zone
Drury 56.0%
Neutral zone
Drury 55.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Drury
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Drury
Karlsson
Last 5: Drury 2-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Drury
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Drury
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (659)
58.5% (135)
+2.3%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
80.0% (5)
-40.0%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (155)
44.4% (18)
+5.3%
On power play, Karlsson has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Drury is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Drury shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Drury
Karlsson
Home
59.2% (407)
63.7% (91)
Away
57.8% (417)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Drury
Karlsson
P1
59.1%
54.4%
P2
57.6%
66.7%
P3
58.8%
51.9%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
62.0%▲
55.5%
58.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Jack Drury |