Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.6% vs Karlsson 48.2% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 52.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 57.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 53.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Carter
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Carter
Karlsson
Last 7: Carter 3-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Carter
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Carter
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (307)
48.9% (662)
+4.2%
Power Play
62.5% (64)
46.7% (107)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
70.4% (27)
41.2% (68)
+29.2%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Carter is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (282).
Carter shoots right. Karlsson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Carter
Karlsson
Home
58.9% (285)
46.1% (401)
Away
47.8% (113)
49.8% (436)
By Period
Carter
Karlsson
P1
54.9%
46.6%
P2
57.5%
49.5%
P3
56.0%
48.4%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |