Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Stastny wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Karlsson 45.8% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 67.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 72.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 77.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Stastny
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Stastny
Karlsson
Last 10: Stastny 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
2
Stastny
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
6
Stastny
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (1,004)
47.2% (786)
+8.2%
Power Play
59.0% (210)
54.5% (11)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (196)
35.6% (163)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Stastny shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Stastny
Karlsson
Home
56.5% (717)
46.4% (478)
Away
55.0% (693)
44.2% (482)
By Period
Stastny
Karlsson
P1
56.7%
44.8%
P2
57.7%
45.6%
P3
52.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
59.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | William Karlsson |