Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lewis wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lewis 44.3% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 80.8%
Defensive zone
Lewis 86.0%
Neutral zone
Lewis 80.2%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Lewis
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Lewis
Karlsson
Last 7: Lewis 1-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Lewis
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Lewis
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Lewis
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lewis
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (251)
55.3% (897)
-13.5%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
61.1% (113)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
50.8% (132)
-6.1%
On power play, Karlsson has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Lewis is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lewis shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Lewis
Karlsson
Home
39.2% (166)
58.6% (560)
Away
46.2% (143)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Lewis
Karlsson
P1
45.2%
55.8%
P2
43.8%
55.6%
P3
37.8%
55.7%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:19 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | William Karlsson |