Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 55.2%). Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Nylander 54.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 51.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 67.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Larkin
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Larkin
Nylander
Last 5: Larkin 5-0 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Nylander
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Nylander
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
56.5% (324)
-3.6%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
46.5% (43)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
0.0% (1)
+55.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +55.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Larkin is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Larkin shoots left. Nylander is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Larkin
Nylander
Home
55.8% (805)
57.1% (177)
Away
53.2% (782)
53.4% (191)
By Period
Larkin
Nylander
P1
55.2%
56.4%
P2
53.3%
51.8%
P3
55.1%
56.9%
OT
51.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |