Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.3% vs Johnston 48.5% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 80.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 66.6%
Neutral zone
Schenn 82.8%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Schenn
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Schenn
Johnston
Last 8: Schenn 8-0 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
0
Schenn
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
0
Schenn
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (608)
47.7% (614)
+3.6%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
51.6% (62)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
51.4% (35)
+21.3%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Schenn is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Schenn shoots left. Johnston is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
Schenn
Johnston
Home
54.1% (362)
47.5% (341)
Away
53.3% (375)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Schenn
Johnston
P1
48.4%
49.4%
P2
52.2%
47.2%
P3
59.2%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
50.0%▼
53.5%
53.7%
Johnston
52.0%▲
49.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |