Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Gourde 49.5% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 85.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 54.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 68.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Cizikas
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Cizikas
Gourde
Last 9: Cizikas 3-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Cizikas
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Cizikas
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Cizikas
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
49.1% (731)
+8.7%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
54.3% (81)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
48.2% (85)
-3.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Gourde
Home
56.6% (484)
50.9% (479)
Away
54.5% (477)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Cizikas
Gourde
P1
57.2%
51.2%
P2
54.7%
49.8%
P3
54.8%
47.5%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 18:15 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |