Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Gourde 48.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 26-16 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 83.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 55.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 71.0%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Cizikas
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
26
(42 meetings)
16
26
Cizikas
Gourde
Last 10: Cizikas 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
5
11
Cizikas
Gourde
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
4
5
Cizikas
Gourde
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
7
10
Cizikas
Gourde
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
48.4% (4,954)
+5.0%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
57.4% (376)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
39.9% (554)
+4.5%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Gourde
Home
53.7% (5,498)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Cizikas
Gourde
P1
53.0%
49.9%
P2
51.1%
47.4%
P3
51.7%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:09 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |