Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Gourde 49.5% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 55.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 87.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 70.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Mercer
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Mercer
Gourde
Last 5: Mercer 3-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
2
0
Mercer
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Mercer
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
49.1% (731)
-13.7%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
54.3% (81)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
48.2% (85)
-48.2%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Mercer
Gourde
Home
39.9% (283)
50.9% (479)
Away
31.3% (307)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Mercer
Gourde
P1
37.7%
51.2%
P2
32.1%
49.8%
P3
37.7%
47.5%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
33.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 15:19 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |