Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.8% vs Gourde 49.7% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 65.4%
Defensive zone
Eichel 65.7%
Neutral zone
Eichel 64.0%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Eichel
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Eichel
Gourde
Last 8: Eichel 2-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
4
Eichel
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (708)
49.1% (847)
-3.6%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
79.5% (44)
-27.6%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
39.5% (81)
-10.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Eichel shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Eichel
Gourde
Home
46.1% (388)
50.1% (491)
Away
44.4% (405)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Eichel
Gourde
P1
46.8%
54.7%
P2
43.4%
45.0%
P3
45.4%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |