Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.7% vs Parise 46.2% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 74.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 97.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 92.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
Hertl
Parise
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Hertl
Parise
Last 7: Hertl 6-1 Parise
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Parise
0
1
Hertl
Parise
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
5
0
Hertl
Parise
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
0
Hertl
Parise
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Parise
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (648)
45.0% (40)
+10.7%
Power Play
60.4% (149)
36.8% (38)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (83)
50.0% (4)
-7.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parise shoots left. Hertl is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (626).
Hertl shoots left. Parise is 37.0% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Home / Away
Hertl
Parise
Home
58.3% (391)
39.5% (38)
Away
52.8% (489)
43.2% (44)
By Period
Hertl
Parise
P1
58.9%
38.1%
P2
51.5%
47.4%
P3
54.3%
35.0%
OT
76.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.3%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.2%
Parise
28.0%▼
36.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Zach Parise |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |