Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Girgensons 44.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 59.9%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 54.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 54.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Kadri
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kadri
Girgensons
Last 7: Kadri 5-2 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
2
Kadri
Girgensons
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
0
Kadri
Girgensons
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (1,015)
43.8% (762)
+3.4%
Power Play
41.1% (112)
45.9% (122)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
43.1% (116)
-25.5%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Kadri is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (695).
Kadri shoots left. Girgensons is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (628).
Home / Away
Kadri
Girgensons
Home
45.4% (573)
44.5% (551)
Away
46.9% (571)
43.4% (449)
By Period
Kadri
Girgensons
P1
48.9%
41.3%
P2
45.2%
43.0%
P3
43.4%
47.0%
OT
61.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
44.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 10:26 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |