Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Evans 52.0% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 85.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 83.5%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 55.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Fantilli
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Fantilli
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Fantilli
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
54.4% (807)
-11.1%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
55.0% (20)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
46.1% (310)
-46.1%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +46.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Fantilli is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Fantilli shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Evans
Home
46.8% (218)
53.7% (581)
Away
39.7% (174)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Fantilli
Evans
P1
40.3%
54.6%
P2
38.1%
50.0%
P3
54.1%
52.3%
OT
30.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
38.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2023 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |