Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 62.9%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 52.7%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 60.4%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
38.5% (309)
+4.8%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
53.2% (79)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
25.0% (12)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Fantilli is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Fantilli shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Home
46.8% (218)
38.0% (184)
Away
39.7% (174)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Fantilli
Schmaltz
P1
40.3%
40.3%
P2
38.1%
39.9%
P3
54.1%
40.7%
OT
30.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |