Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 68.1%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 68.2%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 67.5%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Last 8: Fantilli 2-6 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
3
Fantilli
Schmaltz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Fantilli
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Fantilli
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
48.1% (268)
-7.4%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
50.5% (91)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
58.8% (17)
-42.1%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Fantilli is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Fantilli shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Home
44.1% (488)
49.0% (206)
Away
38.6% (531)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Fantilli
Schmaltz
P1
42.0%
53.6%
P2
43.0%
46.2%
P3
39.3%
50.4%
OT
11.1%
16.7%
Final 5 min
38.3%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |