Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 61.9%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 68.7%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 71.5%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
45.9% (665)
+3.7%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
46.8% (111)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
50.0% (24)
+4.5%
On power play, Fantilli has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Fantilli is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Fantilli shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Home
50.8% (472)
44.7% (409)
Away
49.2% (480)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Fantilli
Schmaltz
P1
47.8%
40.3%
P2
52.7%
47.6%
P3
50.0%
51.0%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |