Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 55.2%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 66.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 54.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Last 10: Fantilli 4-6 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
5
3
Fantilli
Schmaltz
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
3
Fantilli
Schmaltz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Fantilli
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
41.2% (3,399)
+3.5%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
47.1% (649)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
47.8% (134)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (794).
Fantilli shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Schmaltz
Home
47.3% (1,178)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Fantilli
Schmaltz
P1
44.0%
41.1%
P2
46.2%
42.9%
P3
45.9%
43.0%
OT
24.1%
42.4%
Final 5 min
43.9%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |