Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Sturm 59.0% (-16.5%)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 71.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 88.3%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.9%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Fantilli
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
60.6% (708)
-17.3%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
61.1% (18)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
56.4% (101)
-56.4%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Sturm
Home
46.8% (218)
61.6% (451)
Away
39.7% (174)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Fantilli
Sturm
P1
40.3%
55.9%
P2
38.1%
58.9%
P3
54.1%
64.6%
OT
30.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
38.9%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
43.6%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
60.1%