Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.6% vs Poehling 46.9% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 89.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 63.1%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 57.3%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Fantilli
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Fantilli
Poehling
Last 9: Fantilli 6-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
1
Fantilli
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (638)
48.4% (440)
+1.6%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
50.0% (6)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
39.4% (132)
+20.6%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Fantilli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (465).
Fantilli shoots left. Poehling is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Poehling
Home
53.0% (334)
48.2% (222)
Away
48.7% (372)
45.2% (356)
By Period
Fantilli
Poehling
P1
48.7%
54.1%
P2
53.9%
40.5%
P3
49.8%
44.9%
OT
28.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
50.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |