Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Poehling 49.2% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 72.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 80.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Fantilli
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Fantilli
Poehling
Last 8: Fantilli 4-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Fantilli
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
50.4% (752)
-7.1%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
37.0% (27)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
45.3% (159)
-45.3%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Poehling
Home
46.8% (218)
51.2% (467)
Away
39.7% (174)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Fantilli
Poehling
P1
40.3%
54.6%
P2
38.1%
46.7%
P3
54.1%
46.7%
OT
30.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
38.9%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |